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Octopus Research Institute
RQ-001State: HypothesisConfidence: Low–mediumSovereign and Local AIModel Evaluation

Can Apple GPUs support persistent-kernel global synchronisation?

Hypothesis

A forward-progress-safe persistent kernel may be possible only if the runtime can bound residency, barriers and workgroup scheduling under realistic contention.

Evidence

  • 577 barrier/token audit
  • M1 Ultra vs M4 Max bandwidth traces
  • Megakernel-lite stalls under long dependency chains

Experiments

  • Barrier/token replay harness
  • Occupancy cliff sweep
  • Forward-progress watchdog

Results so far

No production-safe proof yet. The failure modes are reproducible enough to define the next test harness.

Current belief

Treat global synchronisation as unproven on Apple GPU until a watchdog-backed stress test survives pathological occupancy.

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